Biden’s Jobs Record: What Survived the Revisions
Much of the Biden job boom faded under scrutiny—and the private sector barely grew.
By any honest measure, the American people were misled. Not by numbers alone, but by the chorus that sang them. For four years, the Biden White House and its allies in the media insisted this was the strongest recovery in modern history. Job growth was soaring. Wages were rising. The economy, they said, was roaring back.
But it was not. And the people knew it.
The Biden administration boasted of 16.6 million jobs created between January 2021 and December 2024. Impressive, if true. But now, with the final tallies in hand, nearly 800,000 of those jobs have vanished into the footnotes—statistical phantoms, erased in silence. In 2023 alone, job creation was revised down by 443,000. Then came August 2024, and another 818,000-job correction—the largest in 15 years.
The legacy press barely blinked. But working Americans did.
The Great Reopening, Not a Recovery
The early Biden years were not an economic renaissance. They were a reopening. Restaurants rehired, factories restarted, airports filled. But this was not "Build Back Better"; it was "Bring Back What Was Closed." A bounce—not a boom.
Behind the curtain, the Bureau of Labor Statistics operates two engines of economic measurement: the quick-draw monthly jobs report (CES) and the Business Employment Dynamics report (BED), which moves slower but cuts deeper. The former grabs headlines; the latter reveals the truth.
For Q3 2024, CES reported 399,000 new nonfarm jobs. But BED, rooted in hard tax data, told a different story: nearly zero net private-sector jobs. What growth there was came from government payrolls—state, local, and federal. In fact, 26% of job gains in Biden’s final two years came from the public sector, sustained not by profits or productivity, but by borrowed dollars.
This was not a market economy at work. This was a managed illusion.
Dynamism in Decline
BED data from Q2 2024 showed gross job losses (7.8 million) outpaced gains (7.6 million), a net loss of 163,000 private-sector jobs. And if Q3 followed suit, as early indicators suggest, we were looking not at economic expansion, but economic stasis. Businesses opened and closed in equal measure. For every new job, one disappeared.
This isn’t dynamism. It’s drift.
Meanwhile, inflation had peaked at 7.2%. Wages struggled to keep pace. Americans watched their paychecks shrink in real terms while being told their prosperity was historic. Productivity rose, yes. Unemployment remained low. But beneath those top-line numbers, the engine of private enterprise sputtered.
Truth Delayed, Trust Lost
No, the books weren’t cooked. The revisions are part of the process. But when government officials trumpet the first draft as gospel, and bury the corrections months later in agency bulletins, what you have is not transparency—it’s propaganda.
The difference between calling balls and strikes and moving the strike zone is the difference between accountability and deception.
This wasn’t just a Biden problem. It was institutional. It was cultural. The media took the numbers at face value. Pundits scolded voters for their ignorance. Economists spoke from ivory towers, bewildered by a public that wouldn’t cheer their spreadsheets.
But the public wasn’t wrong. They were simply living in the economy. And what they lived contradicted what they were told.
The Real Reckoning
The reckoning didn’t happen in a BLS spreadsheet. It happened in November 2024.
Throughout Biden’s presidency, working Americans were told they had never had it so good. And when they expressed doubt, they were mocked. Yet here we are: hundreds of thousands of jobs revised away, government hiring propping up the totals, and an economy once labeled "historic" now exposed as hollow.
The strongest recovery in modern history? It was smoke. It was mirrors. It was marketing.
What Americans felt in their wallets, in their job security, and in their cost of living—it was real. And now, as the revisions roll in, the numbers tell the same story they’d been telling all along.
The people were right.
And the numbers finally admit it.
This was all clear to many of us. The job numbers were revised downward every month and the growth was from public sector jobs and part time jobs, as well as jobs from non-citizens.
Microeconomic data points like rent and auto loan defaults, mortgage delinquency, real wages, 401k withdrawals and credit card debt painted a picture of Americans experiencing hardship and pain.
"Mirage" and "propaganda" are apt descriptors. Good article!