Quantus Insider Briefing – April 24, 2025

AOC Surprises, Harris Holds—and Democrats Still Don’t Know Who They Are

Subscribers,

We dropped fresh numbers today from our latest April national survey—and the Democratic primary data deserves a closer look. While Republicans are bracing for a 2026 midterms and a 2028 successor, the Democratic field looks more like a question mark than a plan.

Here’s what your friends across the aisle are working with:

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2028 Primary: Harris Leads, AOC Surprises, Field Fragmented

Kamala Harris tops the early field with 30%, which is more inertia than enthusiasm. The surprise? Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez pulls 14%—effectively tied with Buttigieg (13%) and Booker (13%). That’s not a protest vote. That’s a bloc.

Takeaway: AOC’s numbers aren’t just noise—they reflect a progressive flank that’s real, organized, and ready to challenge the party’s cautious center. That’s not good news for Democrats hoping for unity in 2026 or 2028.

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