Quantus Insights National Survey: Still Polarized, Now Drifting
Trump Holds Ground as Americans Lose Faith in the Future and the Parties Meant to Lead Them
The latest Quantus Insights poll, conducted over the June 30th to July 2nd holiday, reveals a nation deeply divided — not just by party, but by class, culture, and its sense of destiny. Review the crosstabs and presenation here.
Donald Trump’s approval remains locked at 46.8%, nearer to his disapproval (49.1%), underscoring the frozen trench lines of American politics. His base, particularly white working-class men without college degrees, remains unmoved, and in some respects, hardened. Among that group, his approval tops 63%, reflecting a structural realignment that has brought the GOP closer to its populist-nationalist core.
But even as Trump’s support holds, the broader mood is unsettled. More Americans believe the country is in decline (36.5%) than believe its best days lie ahead (34.2%), and over one in five say the golden era is already behind us. Among older voters and rural Americans, pessimism is particularly strong. This is not mere partisanship. It reflects a deeper loss of faith in national direction, shared across ideological lines.
The ideological balance of the electorate also remains relatively fixed. Moderates are still the largest group at 40%, but conservatives outnumber liberals by more than 12 points (36% to 24%). Liberals remain concentrated in the urban, educated professional class, particularly college-educated women, while the rest of the electorate leans right-of-center. These numbers are not new, but they reinforce a long-term truth: America’s political culture may be polarized, but it is not evenly split. The gravitational pull still tilts right.
One of the most striking findings is the rejection of the two major parties as moral or cultural representatives of the country. When asked which party best reflects American values, one-third of voters said “neither.” Republicans edged Democrats 37 to 31, but the larger story is erosion—of institutional loyalty, of cultural cohesion, and of trust.
In this vacuum, new ideas find traction. Elon Musk’s floated idea of an “America Party” drew interest from 40% of respondents, particularly among young voters and Republican men. Skepticism remains high among older and Democratic voters, but the signal is clear: a large slice of the electorate is open to something new, something disruptive. This is not about Musk. It’s about the growing sense that the existing order is failing to represent the country as it truly is, or wants to be.
Finally, on presidential favorability, Barack Obama leads handily at 48%, followed by Trump at 37% and George W. Bush at 12%. Joe Biden, the former president, comes in at just 4%. It is not merely a low number. It is an indictment. Biden is not seen as a unifying figure, a moral leader, or even a remembered one. For a man who campaigned on restoring normalcy, the country seems intent in forgetting and moving on without him.
In sum, the poll reflects a country adrift. Political allegiances are rigid, but belief in institutions is brittle. Voters are restless, anxious, and increasingly alienated. The question now is not who wins the next election but whether either party is still capable of speaking to the soul of the country.