Trump’s Second Term: Early Approval, Party Support, and Immigration Policy Backing
Survey Highlights GOP Momentum, Public Support for Deportation, and Polarized Voter Sentiment
Introduction
The January 2025 National Political Survey, conducted by Quantus Insights on behalf of Trending Politics News, surveyed 1,000 registered voters nationwide. With a ±3.5% margin of error, the survey measured opinions on key political issues, voter sentiment, and public approval of President Trump during the first week of his second term. Respondents were weighted across gender, race, age, education, and political affiliation to ensure demographic accuracy. (Readers may view cross tabs here).
Key Findings
1. Party Affiliation and Leaners
Republicans hold a narrow edge over Democrats when leaners are included. Among registered voters:
47% identify or lean Republican.
44% align with Democrats.
9% identify as true Independents.
2. 2026 Midterm Election Preferences
The GOP maintains a slight advantage in voter intentions ahead of the 2026 midterms:
48% would vote for a Republican candidate.
45% prefer a Democrat.
7% remain undecided.
3. President Trump’s Early Job Approval
A majority of voters approve of Trump’s performance in his first week:
54% approve.
40% disapprove.
6% have no opinion.
Demographic Insights:
Men approve at a higher rate (58%) compared to women (49%).
Trump’s approval is strongest among non-college voters (55%) and those aged 45-64 (56%).
By party, 88% of Republicans and 45% of Independents approve, while 70% of Democrats disapprove.
4. Support for Deportation Policies
The public broadly supports President Trump’s executive order to deport illegal immigrants, including those whose only offense is unlawful presence:
57% approve.
39% disapprove.
4% are unsure.
Demographic Breakdown:
Approval is highest among Republicans (94%) and non-college voters (60%).
Women (53%) and Hispanics (51%) also show majority support.
Support peaks among voters aged 45-64 (63%).
Narrative Analysis
President Trump’s early second-term agenda has struck a chord with many Americans, particularly his focus on immigration and bold executive action. The survey reflects a Republican-leaning electorate, with strong support for deportation policies and a net-positive job approval rating for Trump.
However, partisan divides remain stark, and the slim Republican majorities in Congress signal that translating this momentum into legislative victories will require strategic finesse. The midterm elections in 2026 loom as a critical test of whether Trump’s agenda can resonate with broader swaths of the electorate.
This survey underscores a nation grappling with polarization but also hints at significant backing for firm leadership on immigration and governance, signaling the political stakes for the road ahead.