Trump’s Standing Steadies, but Crosscurrents Remain Ahead of 2026

Stable Approval, Divided Mood: Voters Show Mixed Signals Heading Into Midterms

March 28, 2025 National Survey – Quantus Insights (view cross-tabs).

President Donald Trump enters the spring of 2025 with his political footing relatively intact. According to the latest national survey of 1,000 registered voters, Trump holds a +3 net approval rating (49.4% approve / 46.4% disapprove) and maintains parity on favorability (49.2% favorable / 48.4% unfavorable). These are modest but stable numbers in a nation still sharply divided—and they reflect a consolidation of support among core Republican constituencies.

The data also show Trump outperforming his standing in the RealClearPolitics averages across several metrics, including overall approval, favorability, and economic handling. His economic approval, while slightly underwater at 46.7% approve / 49.6% disapprove, is 2.5 points stronger than the national polling average.

But the public mood remains unsettled. 49% of voters say the country is on the wrong track, while 44.2% say it’s headed in the right direction. That margin has narrowed significantly since last year but still signals a nation with limited confidence in its trajectory.

Vice President J.D. Vance, relatively new on the national stage, registers a -1 net favorability rating (45.4% favorable / 46.7% unfavorable). While his numbers track slightly behind Trump’s, they show him establishing a base of support among Republicans (88% favorable) and non-college voters (50%).

Looking ahead to 2026, the generic congressional ballot shows Republicans with a narrow edge: 46.3% to 45.4%. That’s a 3-point swing toward Democrats compared to last month’s poll, suggesting movement at the margins—but not yet a reversal.

Key Takeaways

• Trump approval: +3 net (49.4 / 46.4)

• Favorability: +1 net (49.2 / 48.4)

• Economic handling: -2.9 net (46.7 / 49.6)

• Vance favorability: -1 net (45.4 / 46.7)

• Right track / wrong track: -4.9 net (44.2 / 49.1)

• 2026 congressional preference: GOP +0.9 (46.3 / 45.4)

This survey, conducted through both online panels and SMS outreach, reflects a moment of cautious Republican strength amid a still-volatile environment. With more than a year to go until the midterms, the battle lines are forming—but far from fixed.