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The Presidential Exposure Model (PEM): Measuring Midterm Risk Through Approval, Swing, and Strategic Vulnerability
Abstract
Nov 12
•
Jason Corley
4
3
2025 Post-Election Summary: Virginia and New Jersey
A review of the results from last week's Virginia and New Jersey elections.
Nov 11
•
Jason Corley
1
1
October 2025
The Nation’s Pulse: Trump Approval Poll, October 2025
New polling shows a divided electorate, strong support for Trump's Gaza peace deal, and growing public distrust in both institutions and the economy.
Oct 9
•
Jason Corley
2
September 2025
The New Jersey Rehearsal: The Narrowing of Advantage
Signals from the rolls: momentum versus mass in New Jersey
Sep 25
•
Jason Corley
2
Trump Holds the Line as Republican Confidence Ticks Up
In the Wake of Tragedy, Republican Resolve Firms and Trump’s Numbers Stabilize
Sep 22
•
Jason Corley
1
Georgia’s 2026 Senate Race Is Wide Open
Ossoff on Shaky Ground in Georgia. Nearly half of Georgia says it’s time for a change, as Republicans search for a champion.
Sep 15
•
Jason Corley
2
New Jersey 2025 Governor’s Race: Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli By 10
Early Signs of New Jersey's Blue Wall Holding Firm
Sep 5
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Jason Corley
1
August 2025
Trump’s Standing in Late Summer 2025: The Lines Harden
Trump Holds a Durable Half-Nation Coalition, But Remains Locked Out of Majority Approval
Aug 28
•
Jason Corley
2
Middle America Shrugs: Inflation Fatigue and Electoral Flux
Voters demand results as cost-of-living challenges Trump’s Teetering Economic Mandate.
Aug 14
•
Jason Corley
4
Tennessee 2026: Blackburn In Command of GOP’s Fortress State
Quantus Insights Polling of 600 registered Tennessee voters, August 5–7, 2025, shows Marsha Blackburn as the dominant GOP frontrunner in a deeply…
Aug 8
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Jason Corley
3
July 2025
Q2 GDP Estimate Rises, but the Story Beneath the Surface Still Matters
Growth Accelerates, Confidence Stabilizes, and Tariff Policy Takes Center Stage
Jul 29
•
Jason Corley
Quantus Insights National Poll: A Presidency in Stalemate
Trump holds his coalition but the middle remains elusive. Support is strong, stable and stuck.
Jul 25
•
Jason Corley
1
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