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Part II: The Three Young Men America Is Producing
Why the Next Generation of Young Male Voters Looks Nothing Like the Last
Feb 3
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Jason Corley
1
January 2026
Trump at One Year: Job Approval and Key Issues
Donald Trump at Year One: A Presidency Checked, Not Rejected
Jan 23
•
Jason Corley
2
The Shape of Losses: Midterms, Structural Floors, and the Limits of Waves
Direction Is Clear. Scale Is Not Unlimited
Jan 16
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Jason Corley
1
January: Presidential Exposure Model (PEM v2)
Measuring Midterm Risk Through Approval, Partisan Swing, and Structural Amplification
Jan 16
•
Jason Corley
1
December 2025
A Conditional Midterm: Economics, Expectations, and the Shape of 2026
Why Economic Stability Complicates — Rather Than Rewrites — the Midterm Rule
Dec 22, 2025
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Jason Corley
2
1
November 2025
The Presidential Exposure Model (PEM): Measuring Midterm Risk Through Approval, Swing, and Strategic Vulnerability
Abstract
Nov 12, 2025
•
Jason Corley
4
5
2025 Post-Election Summary: Virginia and New Jersey
A review of the results from last week's Virginia and New Jersey elections.
Nov 11, 2025
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Jason Corley
1
1
October 2025
The Nation’s Pulse: Trump Approval Poll, October 2025
New polling shows a divided electorate, strong support for Trump's Gaza peace deal, and growing public distrust in both institutions and the economy.
Oct 9, 2025
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Jason Corley
2
September 2025
The New Jersey Rehearsal: The Narrowing of Advantage
Signals from the rolls: momentum versus mass in New Jersey
Sep 25, 2025
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Jason Corley
2
Trump Holds the Line as Republican Confidence Ticks Up
In the Wake of Tragedy, Republican Resolve Firms and Trump’s Numbers Stabilize
Sep 22, 2025
•
Jason Corley
1
Georgia’s 2026 Senate Race Is Wide Open
Ossoff on Shaky Ground in Georgia. Nearly half of Georgia says it’s time for a change, as Republicans search for a champion.
Sep 15, 2025
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Jason Corley
2
New Jersey 2025 Governor’s Race: Sherrill Leads Ciattarelli By 10
Early Signs of New Jersey's Blue Wall Holding Firm
Sep 5, 2025
•
Jason Corley
1
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