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Graham Leads With South Carolina Primary Days Away
Trump-backed interim senator holds a clear advantage, while Norman, Fry and Sanford remain locked in a three-way contest for second place.
Aug 8
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Jason Corley
2
1
July 2026
Donalds Dominates Florida’s Republican Primary
Trump’s endorsement, unrivaled name recognition, and a consolidated populist electorate have placed the congressman in a commanding position.
Jul 31
•
Jason Corley
1
The Democratic Year—Moderated
Structural conditions favor Democrats, while recent polling suggests a solid advantage rather than a developing wave.
Jul 21
•
Jason Corley
1
1
After the Loss: The 200-Seat Gravity of the Modern House
From historic landslides to today’s narrow majorities, 200 seats has become the modern midterm benchmark.
Jul 16
•
Jason Corley
The Inflation Break America Needed
June’s CPI Report Was More Than a Drop in Gas Prices
Jul 14
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Jason Corley
2
Presidential Exposure Model: July 2026 Midterms Outlook
Measuring Republican Midterm Exposure Through Approval, Partisan Swing, and Coalition Size
Jul 9
•
Jason Corley
1
April 2026
North Carolina 2026: Democrats Hold Early Edge
In a state where neither party gets much room for error, Democrats begin the cycle with a small but meaningful edge.
Apr 3
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Jason Corley
1
March 2026
New Quantus Survey: A Sour National Mood, and a Midterm Warning
The latest Quantus Insights survey finds a dissatisfied electorate, an underwater president, and an early environment tilting against the party in…
Mar 28
•
Jason Corley
Latest Poll: Texas Runoff Takes Shape
Paxton holds the advantage in a settled electorate where few voters appear left to move
Mar 24
•
Jason Corley
6
The House Will Be Won on the Frontline, Not in the Fantasy
The real 2026 fight is not between fantasy wave scenarios, but in the narrow band of seats where control will actually be won or lost.
Mar 23
•
Jason Corley
1
North Carolina 2026: A Competitive State, a Republican-Leaning Electorate
Registration suggests a toss-up. Turnout suggests something else: a small but real Republican advantage built on age, habit, and voter composition.
Mar 21
•
Jason Corley
3
National Survey: A Divided Country and a Motivated Electorate
Our latest polling finds Trump underwater, Democrats holding a narrow House edge, and strong support for proof-of-citizenship voting requirements.
Mar 21
•
Jason Corley
1
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